Pana la sfarsitul lui 2008 Peak Oil va fi in toate ziarele si toate posturile tv (de nevoie).
Probabil ca o sa se vorbeasca o gramada si nu o sa se faca nimic, masurile care trebuie luate sunt prea severe ca sa aiba vreun politician curaj sa le ia, sau populatia sa le accepte. Asta pana cand populatia va vedea ca nu e alta cale si toata tehnologia din lume nu creeaza mai mult petrol, atunci vor cere ca guvernul "sa faca ceva" 
Sau gresesc eu, si masurile sunt gandite deja si vor fi aplicate - in USA cel putin asa se pare. Criza creditului cred ca a fost creata de cineva cu un scop : oamenii sa consume mai putin deci petrolul sa tina mai mult timp. Acelas scop il are si toata treaba cu "climate change". In loc de "consumati mai putin petrol sa reduceti poluarea" ar trebui sa spuna "consumati mai putin pentru ca se termina"
Conducatorii vor cu orice pret sa evite "anarhia" care ar urma in urma unei lipse bruste de combustibil. Au dreptate : o economie mergand bine si oamenii consumand la maxim duc la un consum mai mare de petrol si o cadere mai brusca dupa peak oil
Am mai dat linkul asta :
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/...1686824,00.html
In July 2006, the world's oil rigs pumped out crude at a rate of nearly 85.5 million bbl. a day. They haven't come close since, even as prices have risen from $75 to $98 per bbl. Which raises a question of potentially epochal significance: Is it all downhill from here?
OPEC reduce productia, se pare ca recenta crestere (ceruta de Bush) a venit din stocurile deja existente :
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-200802...=moj_industries
OPEC Feb Output Seen Down As End-Winter Nears-Tracker
DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
February 25, 2008 7:07 a.m.
LONDON (Dow Jones)--The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries is expected to pump around 250,000 barrels a day less in February versus January as some members start to pull in production ahead of the end of winter next month in the main consuming nations, tanker tracker Petrologistics said Monday.
Output from the 13-nation producer group is expected to average 32.4 million barrels a day, down from 32.65 million barrels a day last month, Geneva-based Petrologistics said in its preliminary forecast.
Although still well above OPEC's production target, output from OPEC not including Iraq, which isn't part of the group's output allocation system, is forecast to average 30.10 million barrels a day this month, down from 30.30 million barrels a day in January. The production target of OPEC's 12 quota-bound members is 29.67 million barrels a day.
"We're starting to see some of them reduce output. I expect it go lower in March," said Petrologistics head Conrad Gerber. "OPEC is not in any hurry to open the taps despite the fact that oil is near $100 a barrel."
Saudi Arabia, OPEC's de facto leader because it holds nearly all of the group's spare production capacity, is forecast to pump at about 9.1 million barrels a day, down 50,000 barrels a day from January.
http://www.energybulletin.net/40919.html
Stage 1: Financial collapse. Faith in "business as usual" is lost. The future is no longer assumed resemble the past in any way that allows risk to be assessed and financial assets to be guaranteed. Financial institutions become insolvent; savings are wiped out, and access to capital is lost.
Stage 2: Commercial collapse. Faith that "the market shall provide" is lost. Money is devalued and/or becomes scarce, commodities are hoarded, import and retail chains break down, and widespread shortages of survival necessities become the norm.
Stage 3: Political collapse. Faith that "the government will take care of you" is lost. As official attempts to mitigate widespread loss of access to commercial sources of survival necessities fail to make a difference, the political establishment loses legitimacy and relevance.
Stage 4: Social collapse. Faith that "your people will take care of you" is lost. As local social institutions, be they charities, community leaders, or other groups that rush in to fill the power vacuum, run out of resources or fail through internal conflict.
Stage 5: Cultural collapse. Faith in the goodness of humanity is lost. People lose their capacity for "kindness, generosity, consideration, affection, honesty, hospitality, compassion, charity" (Turnbull, The Mountain People). Families disband and compete as individuals for scarce resources. The new motto becomes "May you die today so that I die tomorrow" (Solzhenitsyn, The Gulag Archipelago). There may even be some cannibalism.